Skip to Content

Microsoft Q2 2024 Earnings Misses Stock Surge as Azure Growth Slows

Microsoft reported better‑than‑expected Q2 earnings, but a slowdown in Azure growth and heavy reliance on OpenAI triggered a 5% post‑market decline. Read the full analysis.
29 January 2026 by
TechStora Editorial Board

Overview

Microsoft Corp. posted strong top‑line results for the second quarter, yet its shares fell more than 5% in extended trading. The decline was driven by investor concerns over Azure’s slowing growth and the company’s growing dependence on OpenAI.

Financial Highlights

Key numbers from the quarter:

  • Earnings before stock‑based compensation: $4.14 per share (vs. $3.97 forecast)
  • Total revenue: $81.27 billion, up 17% YoY (vs. $80.27 billion estimate)
  • Net income: $38.46 billion, up from $24.11 billion a year earlier
  • Gross margin: 68%, the narrowest in three years

Azure Cloud Performance

Azure sales grew 39% YoY, beating the Street’s 38% estimate but slipping from the 40% growth seen three months earlier. Azure figures are reported within the broader Intelligent Cloud segment, which generated $32.91 billion in sales, up 29% YoY and surpassing the $32.4 billion consensus.

RPO & OpenAI Dependence

Microsoft’s commercial remaining performance obligations (RPO) reached $625 billion, a 110% increase YoY. About 45% of this backlog is tied to OpenAI’s $250 billion multi‑year cloud commitment.

Jeffries analyst Brent Thill warned that such concentration could be risky if OpenAI fails to meet its financial targets.

Capital Expenditures & Data‑Center Capacity

Capital expenditures and finance leases jumped 66% to $37.5 billion, outpacing the $34.3 billion forecast. CEO Satya Nadella highlighted the addition of nearly 1 gigawatt of capacity in the quarter.

The company also secured a $30 billion deal with Anthropic, providing a hedge against OpenAI concentration.

Segment Performance

Revenue by segment:

  • Productivity and Business Processes (Office, LinkedIn): $34.12 billion, +16% YoY, above the $33.48 billion estimate
  • More Personal Computing (Windows, Xbox, Bing, Surface): $14.25 billion, –3% YoY, below the $14.38 billion estimate

The dip in personal computing came despite strong PC shipments reported by Gartner.

Analyst Reactions

Investors praised the earnings beat but remain uneasy about Azure’s decelerating growth and the heavy reliance on OpenAI contracts. The mixed sentiment drove the post‑market sell‑off.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Microsoft aims to sustain AI‑driven demand by expanding its data‑center footprint and diversifying cloud customers beyond OpenAI. Analysts will watch Azure growth rates, RPO composition, and capital‑expenditure trends closely.